京津冀地区民营经济高质量发展水平时空分异特征及影响因素分析

Spatio-Temporal Differentiation and Influencing Factors of High-Quality Development Level of Non-State-Owned Economy in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

摘要:

民营经济是社会主义市场经济的重要组成部分,其健康发展是实现经济高质量发展的重要一环。文章基于2018—2022年京津冀地区13个城市的面板数据,构建评价指标体系,并运用熵值法、系统聚类分析、空间自相关以及空间杜宾模型,揭示了京津冀地区民营经济高质量发展水平的时空分异特征与影响因素。研究发现:京津冀地区民营经济高质量发展水平在总体关联性上存在不协同特征;时序上总体水平呈现阶梯式上升趋势;空间上呈现"中部高四周低"的空间非均衡特征,并且存在显著正向空间自相关和空间集聚;经济发展水平、教育水平和科技水平对民营经济高质量发展具有促进作用,社会消费水平则具有抑制作用。同时,经济发展水平和教育水平具有显著的正向空间溢出效应。根据研究结论,文章提出针对性政策建议,为推动京津冀地区民营经济高质量发展提供决策参考。

Abstract:

Non-state-owned economy is an important part of the socialist economic system, and its healthy development is an important part of achieving high-quality economic development. Based on the panel data of 13 cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2018 to 2022, this study constructs an evaluation index system and applies the entropy method, Pearson correlation coefficients, spatial autocorrelation, and spatial Durbin model to reveal the spatial and temporal differentiation characteristics and influencing factors of the level of high-quality development of the non-state-owned economy in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region. The study finds that: there is a positive correlation between the level of high-quality development of the non-state-owned economy among cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. The overall level shows a stepwise upward trend. Spatially, there is a non-equilibrium feature of "high in the centre and low in the north and south", and there is significant positive spatial autocorrelation and spatial agglomeration. It is also observed that economic development level, education level, and science and technology level have a promoting effect on the high-quality development of the non-state-owned economy, while social consumption level has an inhibiting effect. At the same time, economic development level and education level have significant positive spatial spillover effects. Based on the conclusions of the study, this paper puts forward targeted policy recommendations to provide decision-making references for promoting the high-quality development of non-state-owned economy in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.